India's corporate optimism has sunk on worries about the global economy and weakening demand, according to a new survey on Monday, as the stock market and rupee fell to fresh lows. Some 57 percent of the 348 firms in the cross-sector survey reported Asia's third-largest economy had grown "moderately to substantially worse" in the first quarter of the financial year. In the same April-June period last year, just 12 percent believed the business climate had deteriorated, said the survey by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI). The findings came days ahead of the start of India's quarterly reporting season and as the stock market fell to a two-year-low amid concerns about the world credit crisis while the rupee hit a five-year low against the dollar.The BSE benchmark 30-share Sensex index tumbled 469.65 points or 3.75 percent on Monday to hit an intraday low of 12,056.67 -- a level last seen in October 2006 -- as risk-adverse investors continued to pull out funds. The outward flow of investment pushed the rupee down to 47.35 to the dollar, its weakest level since April 2003. As of Friday, Indian shares had lost more than 38 percent so far this year on overseas fund outflows of 9.17 billion dollars. During the same period last year, overseas funds bought 13.62 billion dollars' worth of Indian stocks.
More than 50 percent of those companies surveyed forecast India's economy would remain the same or worsen over the next two quarters. The global financial crisis along with the high cost of credit, reduced availability of funds and weak demand have created added hardship for the Indian corporates in a globalised market.
Earlier, Indian policymakers insisted it would largely escape fallout from the US-led financial turmoil thanks to its still mainly insulated economy. But lately, policymakers have changed their tune, with the government's Economic Advisory Council warning no country can "expect to emerge unscathed." Interest rates at seven-year peaks aimed at wrestling down double-digit domestic inflation have hit borrowing costs, weakening demand and corporate expansion.
2 comments:
I think we can. Bcoz Indian economomy is built on strong lending principles and we can take hits with a smile on our face. Good observations. Compare with other economies and volatality.
Thanks Tiger for your review ... as far as I remember Singapore is the first Asian country to fall into a recession since the crisis started. Japan is teetering on one, and New Zealand slid into a recession in the second quarter for the first time in more than a decade.
The unfolding global financial crisis, the worst since the 1930s, has prompted central banks across the world from the United States to China to loosen policy to avoid a global recession.
In India, if there is a worsening of the fiscal crisis as a result of the slowdown of IT sector and the caital markets, the country could experience a steep economic slowdown in the coming years.
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